金融30人 | 科技如何加速粤港澳大湾区的互联互通

文 | 谢祖墀

本文是高风咨询CEO谢祖墀博士出席“第五届中国国际金融30人论坛暨深港金融合作与发展论坛”上的主旨发言整理。此文于2021年11月18日发表在香港《灼见名家》网站。

我的工作是做企业战略咨询的,我在这个行业已经做了超过30年的时间,一直专注在中国地区,包括在香港跟很多企业合作。在这个过程里面看到有很大的改变,有很多的原因,但是科技的发展应该是驱动了很多企业的发展,包括了地区发展很大的驱动力,所以今天我用大概10分钟的时间,跟各位分享一下我们在这方面的一些观察。

现在已经进入一个科技赋能的时代,这个时代跟十几年前互联网为主的科技发展阶段在本质上有很大的不一样。当然移动互联网创造创造了很多独角兽,和对中国很有影响的企业。但是这个游戏差不多快要结束了,新的游戏正在开始,这个新的游戏主要是由几个大的科技创新组成,特别是AI、5G、区块链,我们在和企业合作的过程中发现,这些科技能带来很多本质不一样的创新,对大湾区,特别是深圳、香港来说有什么含义呢?我们认为有几方面值得关注。

其实大湾区这个区域比较特别,这里包括三个不同的管辖区,这三个管辖区里面有着物理的边界,这样对大湾区之间的互联互通产生了很多障碍,以及有很大程度上影响了过去整个大湾区的发展,在整体的融合方面形成了不少的障碍。这些障碍在其它很多的湾区,包括旧金山湾区、东京湾区是不存在的,所以这个问题究竟怎么解决,我认为科技这在里面会扮演重要角色。

在我们跟客户合作的过程中,我们发现在不同的领域都已经因为新科技的发展形成了一些新的发展趋势。尤其体现在几个比较活跃的领域例如自动驾驶、智能制造、大健康、金融科技。因为科技的发展,每一个领域都正在经历一轮转折,在良好发展的过程中也存在一些挑战和问题。

举例来说,在自动驾驶出租车方面,大湾区内的广州、深圳的发展在全国以及全球都是走在前沿的,这是一个很好的基础。我个人认为对于整个大湾区的融合,包括对香港来讲,商用车比乘用车的发展机会更多。因为在物流方面,无论是货物运输,还是建立智能的物流基地,大湾区现在在科技方面是存在条件的。

在智能制造方面,深圳、东莞、佛山、广州都做得不错,这方面肯定比香港做得好一点。现在一个新的发展机会,就是透过新的科技,透过工业互联网的发展,整个智能制造的做法已经会形成一些根本的改变,跟以前的传统制造很不一样的,主要是在智能方面,在分布式的制造方面,现在有可能做得到。这是什么含义呢?香港特区政府一直在讲,我们要再工业化,但是究竟是什么再工业化,我想香港很多人都搞不清楚,因为在香港很多人的概念里面,可能他在想工业化就是以前香港的工业,后来这些工业转移到内地,香港的工业就空心化了,很多人以为再工业化就是把以前的那些工业制造在香港再重新建立,其实不是这样的。在新的科技的引导下,制造环节将会有新的业态出现,它会有更清楚的分工,在不同的地方可能有不同的分工,香港跟深圳,以及大湾区其城市究竟怎么分工,这是值得大家研究的问题,我们也认为这是一个很有潜力的发展趋势。

大健康这个领域大家都很清楚,现在经常在讨论这个问题,在以前大湾区相互融合的问题,香港人愿不愿意到大湾区生活、工作,其实健康问题是很困扰香港人的。随着新的科技,特别是5G、AI的发展,还有微型机器人科技的发展,现在以远程互联网为基础的医疗方法已经得到了很快速的发展,我们可以预测到在很快的未来,远程的诊断、远程医疗都有可能,甚至于应该说很快就会出现,对于整个大湾区的人员流动将会是很大的帮助。

金融科技方面,大家对区块链、数字人民币在政府大湾区的使用,包括香港跨境使用,大家对这个问题非常感兴趣,而且他们愿意继续去研究。

刚才就是我讲的几个简单的行业,其实还有一些行业,但是今天因为时间关系,不可能每个行业都讲。我们认为智慧城市的概念不单只是一个智慧城市,可能最后会变成一个智慧的区域。智慧的区域应该包括香港、澳门,不单只是广东省的这几个城市,这个去年互联互通,需要科技的发展。在国内的城市,在这方面发展的比香港快很多,走得更前沿一点,这方面我感觉澳门、香港都需要跟国内的这几个城市,特别是跟深圳更多的合作。

数据安全法和个人信息保护法这两个法规的问题,是大家比较关心的,同时也会影响到互联互通的问题。因为互联互通需要做很多的数据交流,如何在新的法规框架下解决和处理,这是很值得大家研究的,希望能在大湾区做出试点的项目。

How Technology Can Enhance Connectivity Across the GBA

By Edward Tse

A recent article authored by Gao Feng Advisory CEO Dr. Edward Tse will be published by China Daily in December 2021.

The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) is a national level strategic imperative. It aims to deepen cooperation among the 11 cities in the region, leveraging comparative advantages of each while facilitating integration of the region’s economic development.

The GBA is unique as it includes three jurisdictions that are separated by physical borders. The connectivity for the flow of people, goods, capital and information, is critical for the functioning of the Greater Bay Area.

Financial services are one area where increased connectivity is all too evident. A series of programs instituted over the last several years have enabled investments across borders within the area. The Stock Connect and Bond Connect schemes were launched in 2014 and 2017 respectively, facilitating the flow of investment between Hong Kong and the mainland in stock and bond markets. Following the success of these programs, Wealth Management Connect, the first cross border scheme focused solely on the Greater Bay Area has been launched in October 2021, further opening up the mainland’s financial market while promoting economic integration in the region.

As China has now entered the new era powered by new technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), 5G, blockchain and cloud computing, the GBA is leading the way in developing applications of these new technologies. Emerging innovations will further enable connectivity beyond what has been possible hitherto. During and after the pandemic, new patterns of business models have emerged along the way. These would span areas such as the next generation of smart cities and digitalization of traditionally offline industries such as healthcare.

The GBA has also become a hotspot for fintech innovation. Using blockchain enabled distributed ledger technology (DLT), integration of multiple services is now possible. One example is iShenZhen, a digital identity verification system in Shenzhen, which leverages DLT, big data and AI, to offer financial systems designed to function seamlessly across borders, furthering the goal of a synergized region.

China is also at the forefront of central bank digital currency (CBDC) research and application. The GBA is among the first to test China’s new digital currency. In October 2020, Shenzhen launched a digital currency trial, releasing virtual red packets to the public totaling 10 million yuan (US$1.47 million). These pilots continue to strengthen the GBA’s fintech infrastructure, while also preparing the region for adopting digital currencies and reap the key benefits of transparency and convenience.

Business models across the GBA are also being transformed. In healthcare, “Internet + Healthcare” platforms such as WeDoctor are helping GBA residents obtain online and offline one-stop “remote-diagnosis, treatment, and post-treatment” services through various channels conveniently. With the accelerated interconnectivity of health information, digital healthcare operations and cooperation in the region will become increasingly prevalent.

For people and goods movement, physical infrastructure (bridges and highways) and institutional infrastructure (systems and information) continue to integrate. The opening of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge and the comprehensive upgrade of other transportation infrastructure (airports, highways and high-speed rail networks) have helped further connect cities within the GBA. Meanwhile, autonomous driving players like AutoX, We Ride and Baidu’s Apollo are making headway in transforming transportation in cities such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen, making it more intelligent and autonomous, and paving the way for smart transportation systems throughout the GBA. Similar potential exists in the intelligent, connected and increasingly autonomous commercial vehicle sector.

In manufacturing, the GBA is navigating the road towards becoming an intelligent, connected, and distributed manufacturing hub. By 2022, increasingly, technologies in digital and automation aspects as well as data and cloud computing will re-define how manufacturing happens. As Hong Kong capitalizes on the opportunity to further its “re-industrialization” initiative, it will have the opportunity to leapfrog into a new manufacturing set-up and ecosystem where not everything needs to be physically located in Hong Kong, i.e., much can be in other GBA cities. Connectivity through technology will accelerate Hong Kong’s ability to re-build its position in manufacturing, and that will manifest in a new form.

Cities within the GBA are also becoming smarter, with the application of new technologies laying the foundation of digital infrastructure. Guangzhou, for example, is building a “digital twin city” covering key features of situational awareness, operations monitoring and real-time management. As cities become smarter, their ability to provide support in connecting key urban functions such as epidemic prevention and control is getting enhanced.

However, with greater connectivity come new challenges. The massive amounts of data being generated need comprehensive data security measures. The newly issued Data Security Law (DSL) and the Personal Information Protection Law (PIPL) are the first steps toward building legal support for the digital economy’s development. Cross-border data should be treated as a high priority for the GBA’s integrated development. Regulatory bodies across the borders must collaborate to form the rules and mechanisms for cross-border data management and security standards. Pilot programs for allowing cross-border data flows should be encouraged and undertaken.

Enhancing the connectivity within the GBA will be the key to it becoming a world leading region. Connectivity across multiple areas such as smart cities, manufacturing hubs, mobility and health care delivery boosts economic productivity and living standards. The GBA’s unique positioning makes it a role model to be adapted across China and potentially other parts of the world.

灼见名家 | 谢祖墀:上海大步迈向数字新时代

 

文 | 谢祖墀

2021-12-08

本文是高风咨询CEO谢祖墀博士撰写的文章,此文于2021年12月8日发表在香港《灼见名家》网站。上海包容的数字发展环境,吸引了许多中外企业共同参与建设。不论是央企、地方国企,还是外资企业和民营企业,都在积极探索特色的数字化转型道路,并在转型的进程中不断培养企业知识化、品质型和数位孪生的特征。

30年前,我开始在上海开展我在中国战略咨询的工作,亲身经历了上海乃至全中国内地在数十年中发展的过程,印象深刻。特别是作为一个曾经留学美国的香港人和长时间先后在数家顶级国际咨询公司工作(故此常态地与全球商业精英们工作和沟通),亲身体验着不同地方之间的此起彼落,不同体制下产生的不同结果,感受良多。

特别是曾经被委任为上海市政府的特聘专家顾问,对上海市政府的发展思考有近距离的观察。自从2014年起,我亦担任着上海国际智库高峰论坛的顾问,每年都给予上海市政府一些建议,见证着上海在这些年的发展。我认为在全国发展的框架和纲领下,上海正在进入一个新数字建设阶段。

良好的数位化转型基础

上海作为中国城市的创新先驱,正在深入贯彻数位中国、智慧社会的重要思想和全面推进城市数字化转型。早在「十三五」时期,上海就推进智慧城市建设实施了一系列举措,并卓有成效。于2020年,上海成为首个获得「世界智慧城市大奖」的中国城市。展望未来,上海可以在哪些方面建设并引领城市数位化转型发展?

上海先进的基础建设主要体现在以下两方面:在数位基建方面,上海不断宽频网路、5G基站等建设,并与交通设施进行跨界融合。除此之外,上海亦致力于推进绿色高端数据中心建设:截至2020年,建成面向公众服务的互联网数据中心103个,机柜总量近14万架,建设30余种智慧感终端近60万个。

在数据资源利用方面,上海着力推进公共数据资源的开发和利用,以不断推动普惠金融、商业服务、智慧交通等多个产业试点建设。上海亦不断开放公共数据开放平台,致力于实现更多的跨部门、跨层级的高效数据交换。

整体联动发展,推动全面数字化转型

上海政府为数位化在多个领域的发展与落地提供了大力支援。在经济领域,特别是金融科技方面,上海市金融局从数位人民币为切入点,落地了包括钱包交易、白名单客户等场景。在制造领域,上海市经信委建成了26个工业互联网标杆平台。

而在科技创新方面,上海市以科学大数据为核心建造了世界级数位产业集群。目前,上海是国内领先的积体电路产业发展城市,2020年销售规模达2070亿元,同比增长21.4%。在上海,有700余家相关企业正在蓬勃发展,吸引了全国近40%的相关产业人才,其中不乏知名晶元企业如英特尔、英飞凌等。

领先企业带动了一批本土的初创企业成长为国内的独角兽企业甚至是龙头企业。在人工智慧产业方面,上海集聚包括商汤科技、依图等在内的1000余家核心企业,相关产业重大项目纷纷在上海立项推进。

在生活领域,数位化重塑了许多行业的服务模式,大大提高了效率与便捷性。以智慧医疗与智慧出行为例,上海市政府与理疗体系围绕医护建立了诊疗知识库,在全国率先实现市级医院号源池统一,而利用「互联网+」医疗,上海致力于实现医疗机构间的资讯互通,特别是各种检查种类和相关要求的互通。

在智慧交通方面,打通城、车、人的数据互通。未来,从出家门到目的地,实现车随人需、无缝衔接的新体验,极有可能颠覆交通工具的功能和形态。

在治理领域领域,上海市政府打造了更为精准、智慧的「数治」城市新范式。「随申码」、「一网通办」等平台使诸多民生服务完成数字化转型,提高了政府公共服务供给能力。

企业是上海数字化转型发展的中坚力量

上海包容的数字发展环境,吸引了许多中外企业共同参与建设。不论是央企、地方国企,还是外资企业和民营企业,都在积极探索特色的数字化转型道路,并在转型的进程中不断培养企业知识化、品质型和数位孪生的特征。

领先的外企发挥了示范作用。汽车制造业中大众、特斯拉、凯迪拉克等企业在上海打造超级工厂;制造业中ABB的示范工厂高度实现机器人行业高度柔性和自动化生产;GE医疗打造「爱迪生医疗」平台生态,在中国推动医疗器械100%国产化;还有数位化解决方案供应商,例如埃森哲、普华永道、IBM、西门子、SAP等一直致力于帮助企业实现数字化转型。

重点民企也发挥主力军作用,推动了大企业建平台、中小企业上平台。其中,正泰集团打造的「一云两网」是能源行业的标杆,该系统管理200多个大型光伏地面电站,有效使平均发电量提升3%、降本5%,能源利用效率提升8%。

云汉芯城基于工业互联网平台,连结超40万电子产业开发者、超过6万家电子元器件供应厂商,协同全国10余个电子产业服务平台,实现设计、制造、服务云化。企业的不断创新与投入,为上海未来的数字化发展奠定了良好的基础。

构建高效网路安全治理体系极关键

随着数位经济建设的不断发展,多维度融合的复杂系统也将面对前所未有的挑战。而国家最近颁布的《数据安全法》和《个人信息保护法》,为海量数据的安全治理提供了第一步的法律支援。

在制度方面,上海积极推进《上海数据条例》的立法工作,以保护个人资讯安全。在技术方面,上海不断探索个人资讯和数据脱敏与保护。在制度方面,大数据中心正着眼于从机制上解决系统小而散、数据共用难等问题。

聚焦上海最新的发展

随着愈来愈多的创新科技将不断深入,人们已经开始勾画对未来的更多想像。例如量子计算、脑机介面技术(Brain–machine interface,BMI)、元宇宙(Metaverse)等在民生、医疗、政府治理等层面的应用。

未来,元宇宙的概念也许会真的实现,并能进一步赋能上海在经济、生活、治理上的成就。元宇宙为使用者创造了过去无法想像的交互体验,即在一个数位化的世界里进行内容创造。元宇宙必须是即时的,并提供与现实世界的交互。由于其跨平台、跨虚实的特性,任何人都可以在元宇宙共用、分享、创建、改造及运营相关内容。

届时,人们的生活将会更加便捷,政府的治理也将更加高效。我们认为,欧美国家的元宇宙发展将以企业和个体消费者为中心,而中国元宇宙的技术将更多会被适用于社会发展方面。到时,不仅是上海,各地方政府将面临关于数据安全与治理,个人和集体行为管理等方面的全新挑战。

同时,它亦将会创造一个新的产业链和相关供应链族群。无论在硬体抑或是软体,都很有可能创造新的业态。

展望未来,上海将在「十四五」时期加速迈入数位新时代。让我们拭目以待,上海在成为具有世界影响力的国际数位之都的征程上继续前进。

【今日语录】12月3日

 

随着中国大环境的不断变化,外国人在中国的形象亦发生着变化。那些带来核心科技和创新的外国友人,他们为中国的发展做出了贡献并受益于此。同时,中国还将为他们提供世界领先的实验室,让他们取得超越本土国家所能实现的进步并且创造双赢,外国友人亦将受到尊重。

【今日语录】November 22nd

As the China context continues to evolve, the profile of the foreigner in China will also evolve. Those who will contribute to and benefit from China’s development will be those who bring hard-core knowledge on science, technology and innovation. And China will offer the world’s leading laboratory for these people to make progress perhaps beyond what they could have in their home countries. It will create win-wins. These foreigners will be respected.

China Daily | 5G is Enabling More Innovations

By Edward Tse

2021-11-25

A recent article authored by Gao Feng Advisory CEO Dr. Edward Tse was published by China Daily on November 25.

The world in general, and China in particular, is entering into a new era of technological innovations enabled by not only 5G technology, but also artificial intelligence, blockchain and cloud computing.

Though 5G is still at the early stage of commercialization, the momentum and investments being made by industry players and governments around the globe are truly massive.

Over the next few years, the process of digital transformation is expected to undergo a new wave of innovation and significant acceleration because of 5G, AI, blockchain, cloud computing and other technologies.

According to the latest report by the Global Mobile Suppliers Association, 169 operators in 70 countries and territories have already launched 5G services. Total deployment of 5G base stations globally exceeded 1.02 million as of December 2020, and this number is expected to double to 2.1 million by the end of this year.

In the meantime, according to research by J.P. Morgan, the total number of 5G users in the world had exceeded 225 million as of the end of 2020. The number is expected to reach 3 billion by 2025.

China is at the forefront of development and adoption of 5G. China had 718,000 5G base stations as of December last year, almost six times the number of stations compared with runner-up South Korea.

At the same time, the number of 5G users in China has exceeded 200 million, versus a global total of 225 million, with a third of all 5G patents owned by China, according to Nikkei Asia.

5G will enable a wide range of applications in the context of “all-scenario intelligent connectivity” or simply an “all-scenario internet”.This means the emergence of ubiquitous intelligent connectivity across people, devices and machines. 5G will also play a role in driving development in areas like augmented reality, remote medical care, internet-of-things and “vehicle-and-road cooperation”.

Applications of 5G are also spreading in the industrial sector, where flexible production and smart manufacturing is taking place, in the healthcare sector where remote monitoring, remote consultation and instruction as well as remote operations are now possible, and in the pan-entertainment sector, in which cloud gaming and high-definition video services are becoming a reality.

As China embarks on its 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-25), in which technological innovation is the key goal, and as it starts to implement key policies such as common prosperity, rural vitalization, carbon neutrality and dual circulation, 5G applications will play crucial roles in helping to drive these policies and implementations.

A very hot topic now is the quick development of the “metaverse”, which is a collective virtual shared space, created by convergence of virtually enhanced physical reality and physically persistent virtual space.

It mixes technologies such as augmented reality, virtual reality, mixed reality and brain-computer interface to create immersive and interactive experiences for the users, and functions that were unimaginable in the past.

The technology is nascent. However, a large number of leading companies have already expressed strong interest in getting into this space. Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced that his company will imminently be changing its name to Meta to indicate its growing focus on the metaverse.

Other leading tech companies such as Microsoft, Nvidia, and Roblox have all announced their new focus on the metaverse space.

5G and AI are the key enablers of the commercialization of the metaverse. In order to connect to the metaverse, people will need connectivity speeds running into the hundreds of megabits per second that only 5G can deliver.

In the future, 5G could remove the need for devices’ heat-generating components and bring down the cooling and power needs.

On the consumer side, 5G could also stimulate new demand. The gradual enrichment of consumption patterns will promote major changes in user experience requirements and may further lead to new industries or new business models.

Like many other aspects of businesses these days, commercialization of 5G will be somewhat affected by geopolitics as well as issues such as sovereign regulation of data security. These aspects could complicate commercialization of 5G to some extent, as the pursuit of connectivity continues. As such, companies need to incorporate these considerations into the formulation of their business strategies going forward.

5G, along with other technologies, has created a new inflection point in innovations. It will breed major opportunities for innovation across a wide range of sectors.

It will also require much more customer support along its entire value chain, all the way from R&D and design to manufacturing and support and services. Very exciting times are ahead as we see a totally new game being created.